Is Quarterback Rating Overrated?

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ben-aaron

When assessing the skill level of an NFL signal caller, one of the first stats brought up is quarterback rating. Some football pundits think it’s a good indicator, while others believe it’s an extremely overrated number. Statistically speaking, QB rating does have merit in regards to things like completion percentage and touchdown-interception ratio, but does it translate to winning championships. Using the last decade as a sample, let’s take a look to see if having a higher quarterback rating makes a difference on Super Bowl Sunday.

Going back to the year 2000, here’s a list of opposing Super Bowl quarterbacks and their respective ratings:

Year AFC QB/Rating NFC QB/Rating Winner
2010 Roethlisberger – 97.0 Rodgers – 101.2 ?
2009 P. Manning – 99.9 Brees – 109.8 Brees
2008 Roethlisberger – 80.1 Warner – 96.9 Big Ben
2007 Brady – 117.2 E. Manning – 73.9 E. Manning
2006 P.Manning – 101.0 Grossman – 73.9 P. Manning
2005 Roethlisberger – 98.6 Hasselbeck – 98.2 Big Ben
2004 Brady – 92.6 McNabb – 104.7 Brady
2003 Brady – 85.9 Delhomme – 80.6 Brady
2002 Gannon – 97.3 Johnson – 92.9 Johnson
2001 Brady – 86.5 Warner – 101.4 Brady
2000 Dilfer  - 76.6 Collins – 83.1 Dilfer

Six of ten winners had a lower rating during the regular season. Obviously, defensive rankings, turnovers and other factors need to be accounted for when evaluating Super Bowl champions. However, when it comes to quarterback rating, odds are the guy with the lower number will hoist the Lombardi Trophy.

Source: Pro-Football-Reference.com

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